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Ukraine attack will have 'consequences,' EU, US warn Russia

January 24, 2022

Russian aggression against Ukraine will have "severe costs," the head of NATO has said after a meeting with European leaders and US President Biden. Earlier, EU foreign ministers met to agree on a joint strategy.

Members of Ukraine's Territorial Defense Forces, volunteer military units of the Armed Forces, train in a city park in Kyiv
Dozens of civilians have been joining Ukraine's army reserves in recent weeks amid fears of a Russian invasionImage: Efrem Lukatsky/AP Photo/picture alliance

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Monday that Western allies stood united in their warning to Moscow that a Russian attack on Ukraine will provoke a tough response.

"We agree that any further aggression by Russia against Ukraine will have severe costs," Stoltenberg said on Twitter after an online meeting with US President Joe Biden and European leaders, including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Scholz said Russia faced "heavy consequences" if it attacked Ukraine. The leaders had agreed "it is up to Russia to undertake visible de-escalation initiatives," Scholz said.

Biden said the western allies were in "total" agreement on how to deal with a Russian military threat to Ukraine.

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's office also said "the leaders agreed on the importance of international unity in the face of growing Russian hostility."

EU foreign ministers coordinate Ukraine strategy

Earlier on Monday, foreign ministers from the European Union's 27 member states met in Brussels in a bid to hammer out a response to a feared invasion of Ukraine by Russia.

After the meeting, EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said there is "unity" among member states on "quick and determined" action from the bloc, should Russia invade. 

Borrell added the EU has pledged to support Ukraine in "key areas" including countering cyberattacks and hybrid threats, such as Russian disinformation campaigns.

However, the EU will continue "collective efforts" to convince Russia to take a "path of dialogue" in resolving tensions, he said, adding that the EU is prepared to respond should diplomacy fail.

The meeting, which was joined by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken by videoconference, comes as the United States and other Western countries urged families of their diplomats to leave Ukraine amid the crisis.

A map of Ukraine and troop placements

How has the EU responded?

Some within the EU feel the bloc is being sidelined in the current situation, with the Russian government concentrating on talks with the US and NATO to put forward its security demands.

However, Washington has called on all its allies to come up with economic sanctions to punish Russia if it goes ahead with the invasion.

The meeting in Brussels took place as NATO announced it would send additional jets and ships to deployments in Eastern Europe amid invasion fears.

The Netherlands, for example, is dispatching two F-35 fighter aircraft to Bulgaria from April, while Denmark will send a frigate to the Baltic Sea and additional aircraft to Lithuania. 

The EU foreign ministers expressed their latest concerns about the Ukraine crisis, with some members threatening harsh sanctions if Russia moves forward with an invasion.

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said Berlin was ready to support Kyiv both economically and financially.

"We are closely at Ukraine's side, with regards to financial support as well as economic support," Baerbock told journalists, including DW's Brussels Bureau Chief Alexandra von Nahmen.

Danish Foreign Minister Jeppe Kofod said the bloc was ready to hit Moscow with "never-seen-before" sanctions if Russia attacks Ukraine.

Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney, meanwhile, said Russia intended to hold war games 240 kilometers (150 miles) off his country's southwestern coast. The war games would occur both in international waters but also in Ireland's exclusive economic zone.

"We don't have a power to prevent this happening but certainly I've made it clear to the Russian ambassador in Ireland that it's not welcome," Coveney said.

EU pledges new aid to Ukraine

During the meeting, EU Commission head von der Leyen announced a fresh €1.2 billion ($1.3 billion) aid package for Ukraine. 

"This package will help Ukraine now to address its financing needs due to the conflict," von der Leyen told reporters in Brussels. She urged the European Parliament to approve the aid "as soon as possible."

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy thanked von der Leyen for the "timely" decision. 

"Strong Ukraine is key for European security," Zelenskyy tweeted. The Ukrainian president also expressed gratitude to European Council President Charles Michel in a phone call. 

The amassing of more than 100,000 Russian troops near the Ukrainian border has raised Western fears that Moscow may be planning to invade its neighbor, though Russia has denied such intentions.

Consensus on sanctions hard to reach 

The foreign ministers discussed what sanctions could be imposed on Russia should it invade, but a consensus between its members has so far been hard to reach.

Using Europe's oil and gas imports from Russia as leverage would seem a possible option, but one that is difficult to use without detriment to the EU itself.

A proposal to cut Russia off from the global SWIFT payment system has reportedly been rejected after several countries, led by Germany, opposed the move.

At the meeting, Blinken was expected to have an "informal exchange" with the EU ministers during which he would brief them on his talks on Friday with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

Those talks failed to produce any major breakthrough, but an agreement was reached to keep working to ease tensions.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
Blinken briefed his EU counterparts on his recent talks with RussiaImage: Alex Brandon/REUTERS

What is the situation in Ukraine?

Moscow's military buildup near its western border with Ukraine comes as the Kremlin seeks to push through a series of demands it says are essential to Russia's security.

Among other things, it is calling for guarantees that Ukraine will not join NATO and for the military alliance to reduce its military presence in Eastern Europe.

The West sees the demands as an attempt by Russia to regain the sphere of influence it had before the dissolution of the Soviet Union some 30 years ago.

Moscow's annexation of Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 has seen tensions between Russia and the West increase in recent years.

Russia has also backed a rebellion in the east of Ukraine that has claimed 13,000 lives and seen the rebels take control of considerable amounts of territory in the Donbass region.

wmr, tj, wd/rt (dpa, AP, AFP, Reuters)