The coronavirus pandemic is far from over | Science| In-depth reporting on science and technology | DW | 07.05.2021
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The coronavirus pandemic is far from over

Many countries are reporting fewer new coronavirus infections. But global data indicate that the COVID-19 pandemic is far from over. DW sums up the current situation in three charts.

A screenshot showing a graph with COVID-19 case numbers

Case numbers are still rising in many countries

These charts and this article are updated every Friday between 1100 and 1300 UTC. Last updated: May 7, 2021.

What's the current global trend? 

The goal for all countries is to make it to the blue section of the chart and stay there. Countries and territories in this section have reported no new cases for four weeks in a row.  

Currently, that is the case for four out of 188 countries and territories. 

Data visualization: COVID-19 global new case numbers trend - calendar week 18, 2021

Please note: The number of newly reported cases highly depends on a country's ability to conduct tests and its strategy for administering tests. Additionally, some countries have been criticized for not accurately reporting case numbers.

How has the COVID-19 trend evolved over the past weeks?

The situation has improved significantly: 58 countries have reported more cases in the past two weeks compared with the previous 14 days.

Data visualization: COVID-19 global new case numbers trend - until calendar week 18, 2021

What is the current COVID-19 trend in my country? 

Based on the newly reported case numbers — which can reflect local outbreaks as well as the countrywide spread — in the past 28 days, countries and territories classify as follows:

Data visualization: COVID-19 global new case numbers trend - map calendar week 18, 2021

More than twice as many new cases:

  • Asia: Afghanistan, Laos, Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Taiwan
  • Africa: Cameroon
  • Americas: Trinidad and Tobago
  • Oceania: Fiji

More new cases:

  • Asia: Asia: Bahrain, Bhutan, Myanmar, Cambodia, Georgia, India, Japan, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Thailand, Timor Leste, Uzbekistan, Vietnam
  • Africa: Algeria, Angola, Cape Verde, Congo, Egypt, Ghana, Lesotho, Mauritania, Namibia, Niger, Rwanda, Seychelles, South Africa, Uganda
  • Americas: Bahamas, Barbados, Bolivia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Ecuador, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Nicaragua, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname
  • Europe: Denmark, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, United Kingdom

About the same number of new cases (no change or plus/minus 2%):  

  • Asia: Kazakhstan
  • Africa: Chad
  • Americas: Colombia, Panama, Paraguay
  • Europe: Belarus, Iceland, Russia
  • Oceania: Australia

Fewer new cases:

  • Asia: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Brunei Darussalam, China, Cyprus, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, South Korea, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Pakistan, Philippines, Qatar, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates
  • Africa: Benin, Botswana, Burundi, Central African Republic, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ivory Coast, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Guinea, Kenya, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Morocco, Mozambique, Nigeria, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Somalia, South Sudan, Tunisia
  • Americas: Argentina, Belize, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Peru, United States of America, Uruguay, Venezuela
  • Europe: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine
  • Oceania: New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu

Less than half as many new cases:

  • Asia: Bangladesh, Israel, Jordan, Palestinian territories, Yemen
  • Africa: Burkina Faso, Comoros, Equatorial Guinea, Eswatini, Gabon, Gambia, Guinea Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Mauritius, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Togo, Zambia, Zimbabwe
  • Americas: Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada
  • Europe: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Hungary, Kosovo, Moldova, North Macedonia, Poland, Romania, San Marino

Zero new cases:

  • Asia: Tajikistan
  • Europe: Vatican
  • Oceania: Marshall Islands, Samoa

If you have questions regarding the analysis, please refer to the project's Github repository for code and methodology. For feedback regarding the charts, please contact: 
The charts in this article were inspired by the work of Lisa Charlotte Rost.

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