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Russia growth jitters

November 7, 2013

The government in Russia has admitted that the country's economy looks likely to develop slower than the global average over the next 16 years. The Kremlin cited waning overall investment and dismal export prospects.

Toyota Land Cruiser Prado assembly line at a Sollers car factory in Russia (Photo ITAR-TASS / Yuri Smityuk)
Image: picture-alliance/dpa

On Thursday, Russian Economics Minister Alexei Ulyukayev told reporters in Moscow that his country's economy would only grow by an annual average of 2.5 percent until 2030, down from an earlier projection of 4 to 5 percent.

"The pace of Russia's economic growth will fall behind the global average in the forecast period," Ulyukayev said while presenting a revised long-term economic strategy.

Russia's $2 trillion (1.48-trillion-euro) economy has slowed sharply since Vladimir Putin returned to the Kremlin last year for a third presidential term.

Sluggish reform drive

The downward revision makes Russia look like a misfit in the BRICS group of large emerging markets, also comprising Brazil, India, China and South Africa.

Russia-EU clash over car import duties

Analysts pointed to a lack of reforms in Russia, with the economy being hampered by red tape, corruption and weak rule of law, suggesting the government had no real recipe to avert a slide into stagnation in the long term.

Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev had told the Reuters news agency that "there is no magic formula to boost growth, and, if there is, we don't know it."

Right now, the country keeps struggling with waning investment and reduced industrial output, also seeing less demand abroad for its staple export items such as oil and other commodities.

hg/mkg (Reuters, IFAX)

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