WEBVTT 1 00:00:02.310 --> 00:00:05.710 The world’s shipping companies are facing a two-front squeeze. 2 00:00:06.110 --> 00:00:09.350 Tariffs grabbed the headlines, but another heavy cost is on the 3 00:00:09.350 --> 00:00:11.690 horizon, docking fees. 4 00:00:12.270 --> 00:00:13.700 Let's start with tariffs. 5 00:00:13.710 --> 00:00:17.790 They don't just hit manufacturers, they threaten to slow global trade 6 00:00:17.790 --> 00:00:21.350 itself, with shipping lines caught in the crossfire. 7 00:00:21.510 --> 00:00:26.350 Ocean shipping carries about 80% of global trade, meaning the shock waves 8 00:00:26.350 --> 00:00:29.170 from tariffs will definitely reach the ports. 9 00:00:30.380 --> 00:00:33.740 In Germany, there are 287 shipping companies. 10 00:00:33.820 --> 00:00:37.780 Only 2% of them have fleets with more than 50 vessels. 11 00:00:37.780 --> 00:00:43.140 80% of the companies operate fleets of fewer than 10 ships, so even a 12 00:00:43.140 --> 00:00:45.440 small dip in cargo can hurt. 13 00:00:46.510 --> 00:00:50.350 Trans Pacific volumes are already down and ships are suddenly 14 00:00:50.350 --> 00:00:51.460 in less demand. 15 00:00:51.470 --> 00:00:55.830 The German Ship Owners Association says small and mid-sized carriers are 16 00:00:55.830 --> 00:00:58.450 feeling the squeeze from U.S.-China trade. 17 00:00:58.830 --> 00:01:04.340 Of course we see a decline also in the chartering out activity because 18 00:01:04.350 --> 00:01:08.230 there is less demand for container ships now because the volumes of 19 00:01:08.230 --> 00:01:10.810 trade have declined between especially China and 20 00:01:10.830 --> 00:01:11.890 the United States. 21 00:01:12.310 --> 00:01:14.780 But tariffs are just one side of the squeeze. 22 00:01:14.800 --> 00:01:18.230 The second front, docking fees, opens in October. 23 00:01:18.520 --> 00:01:23.390 the U.S. will charge a fee every time a Chinese built chip docks $50 per net 24 00:01:23.390 --> 00:01:27.550 ton if it's owned by a Chinese company, $18 if it's owned by a 25 00:01:27.550 --> 00:01:29.209 non Chinese company. 26 00:01:29.590 --> 00:01:33.030 The fee will increase each year for the next three years. 27 00:01:33.110 --> 00:01:36.230 It's the first of its kind measure meant to counter China's 28 00:01:36.230 --> 00:01:39.750 shipbuilding dominance and protect American shipyards. 29 00:01:41.510 --> 00:01:43.380 This dominance is real. 30 00:01:43.390 --> 00:01:48.510 Data from the UN shows that China delivered over 50% of all new ship 31 00:01:48.510 --> 00:01:52.910 capacity in 2023- more than the rest of the world combined. 32 00:01:53.310 --> 00:01:58.290 This means a huge portion of the global fleet could be affected by the U.S. fee. 33 00:01:59.430 --> 00:02:03.150 Well, it's an absolute first that we see a country introducing docking 34 00:02:03.150 --> 00:02:07.750 fees on Chinese build ships and we expect a heavy impact on 35 00:02:07.750 --> 00:02:09.300 the shipping market. 36 00:02:09.310 --> 00:02:10.860 You will the first activity. 37 00:02:10.870 --> 00:02:14.710 You will see is that ships built in China will go out of trade from 38 00:02:14.710 --> 00:02:16.130 the United States. 39 00:02:16.280 --> 00:02:20.470 In other words, carriers will reroute vessels to avoid US ports. 40 00:02:20.750 --> 00:02:25.550 There are plenty of other trade lanes for those ships, but the disruption 41 00:02:25.560 --> 00:02:26.960 will be significant. 42 00:02:27.510 --> 00:02:32.150 European ports like Hamburg haven't yet seen a surge to fill the gap, but 43 00:02:32.150 --> 00:02:34.460 global patterns are changing. 44 00:02:34.470 --> 00:02:38.510 Other countries might become new transshipment hubs, while China could 45 00:02:38.510 --> 00:02:41.169 pivot its fleet to serve other markets. 46 00:02:41.280 --> 00:02:44.510 Shipping companies everywhere are watching closely. 47 00:02:44.590 --> 00:02:48.230 Well, it will be an interesting time the next few months for the German 48 00:02:48.230 --> 00:02:53.110 shipping industry because we are sailing in total unpredictability. 49 00:02:53.110 --> 00:02:57.030 We don't know what the United States is going to come forward with over 50 00:02:57.030 --> 00:03:00.510 the next few months when it comes to trade policy, tariff policies. 51 00:03:00.510 --> 00:03:04.036 We hope for the best, but we have no idea what the outcome will be. 52 00:03:04.036 --> 00:03:05.820 After weekend talks in Geneva, 53 00:03:05.830 --> 00:03:10.230 the U.S. and China agreed to a 90 day tariff truce bringing things back 54 00:03:10.230 --> 00:03:16.510 to the 10% baseline. So for now, the industry enjoys slightly calmer waters, yet 55 00:03:16.510 --> 00:03:20.310 ship owners are still bracing for the next storm.