WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.680 --> 00:00:02.280 "It's the best job in the world." 2 00:00:03.720 --> 00:00:04.440 "I think my job 3 00:00:04.440 --> 00:00:05.720 is the best in the world..." 4 00:00:05.720 --> 00:00:08.000 I flew in this electric plane – 5 00:00:08.000 --> 00:00:10.880 whose journey, you could argue, started in 1883. 6 00:00:10.880 --> 00:00:12.520 That was the first electric aircraft 7 00:00:12.520 --> 00:00:13.400 that ever flew – 8 00:00:13.400 --> 00:00:14.520 around 20 years before 9 00:00:14.520 --> 00:00:16.040 the Wright brothers. 10 00:00:16.040 --> 00:00:18.600 A long line of funny and useful e-aircrafts 11 00:00:18.600 --> 00:00:21.240 came after – including Unmanned Aerial Vehicles 12 00:00:21.240 --> 00:00:24.280 aka drones – and led the path to today. 13 00:00:24.280 --> 00:00:25.840 "Oh my God!" 14 00:00:25.840 --> 00:00:27.480 "This is the first certified plane 15 00:00:27.480 --> 00:00:29.960 to fly electric in the world! 16 00:00:30.640 --> 00:00:31.160 Right?" 17 00:00:31.160 --> 00:00:31.760 "Yep!" 18 00:00:31.760 --> 00:00:33.240 Dozens of projects around the world 19 00:00:33.240 --> 00:00:34.080 are now figuring out 20 00:00:34.080 --> 00:00:34.800 how to finally 21 00:00:34.800 --> 00:00:37.000 make electric aviation a reality. 22 00:00:37.000 --> 00:00:39.200 And some, honestly, look downright funky. 23 00:00:39.200 --> 00:00:40.760 They're convinced the time has come. 24 00:00:40.760 --> 00:00:43.520 Some companies are already selling tickets. 25 00:00:43.520 --> 00:00:45.360 They're silent, cheap to operate, 26 00:00:45.360 --> 00:00:47.520 and potentially up to 90% more efficient 27 00:00:47.520 --> 00:00:48.960 than jet-fuelled aircraft. 28 00:00:48.960 --> 00:00:50.240 And e-planes are just... 29 00:00:50.240 --> 00:00:52.080 "...so cool!" 30 00:00:52.080 --> 00:00:53.200 But as you can see here: 31 00:00:53.200 --> 00:00:53.880 It's really easy 32 00:00:53.880 --> 00:00:55.560 to get caught up in all the hype. 33 00:00:55.560 --> 00:00:56.640 They have never really worked 34 00:00:56.640 --> 00:00:59.320 at scale before. 35 00:00:59.320 --> 00:01:01.240 So I’m in North-Eastern Sweden 36 00:01:01.240 --> 00:01:02.680 to find out: 37 00:01:02.680 --> 00:01:04.760 "Why are we all not flying electric yet?" 38 00:01:09.240 --> 00:01:10.560 It won't surprise you to hear 39 00:01:10.560 --> 00:01:13.040 that how we fly today needs to change. 40 00:01:13.040 --> 00:01:14.920 Aviation makes up for around 3% 41 00:01:14.920 --> 00:01:16.160 of global emissions. 42 00:01:16.160 --> 00:01:18.120 And ok, that really doesn’t sound so bad. 43 00:01:18.120 --> 00:01:20.200 But by 2050 that number is projected 44 00:01:20.200 --> 00:01:22.240 to rise to over 8 times that. 45 00:01:22.240 --> 00:01:23.400 And there are no real ways 46 00:01:23.400 --> 00:01:24.840 to fly pollution-free. 47 00:01:24.840 --> 00:01:26.800 So it is worrying. 48 00:01:26.800 --> 00:01:28.320 One of the most promising solutions 49 00:01:28.320 --> 00:01:30.360 to aviation pollution are biofuels 50 00:01:30.360 --> 00:01:31.080 or more broadly 51 00:01:31.080 --> 00:01:33.280 sustainable aviation fuels. 52 00:01:33.280 --> 00:01:34.200 They're mostly made from 53 00:01:34.200 --> 00:01:35.320 non-petroleum products 54 00:01:35.320 --> 00:01:37.080 like biomass or algae. 55 00:01:37.080 --> 00:01:37.880 You can basically just 56 00:01:37.880 --> 00:01:38.960 swap the fossil fuels 57 00:01:38.960 --> 00:01:40.080 in here for biofuels, 58 00:01:40.080 --> 00:01:41.200 or make a blend. 59 00:01:41.200 --> 00:01:42.360 But we need so much of it, 60 00:01:42.360 --> 00:01:44.320 that scaling up is very hard. 61 00:01:44.320 --> 00:01:45.480 And the land could be used for 62 00:01:45.480 --> 00:01:47.240 other purposes like growing food 63 00:01:47.240 --> 00:01:48.866 or saving forests. 64 00:01:49.600 --> 00:01:50.800 And then there's also hydrogen, 65 00:01:50.800 --> 00:01:52.000 that's showing promise. 66 00:01:52.000 --> 00:01:53.960 Especially hydrogen made sustainably, 67 00:01:53.960 --> 00:01:56.640 and a lot of prototypes are being tested. 68 00:01:57.760 --> 00:01:59.960 Electric planes are a third option. 69 00:01:59.960 --> 00:02:03.299 And they can make a really compelling case. 70 00:02:03.680 --> 00:02:04.760 "Up here where we live, 71 00:02:04.760 --> 00:02:07.920 we run off hydro power or wind power. 72 00:02:07.920 --> 00:02:09.680 So the electricity we have is 73 00:02:09.680 --> 00:02:12.480 sustainable and renewable. 74 00:02:12.480 --> 00:02:13.040 So, of course, 75 00:02:13.040 --> 00:02:14.920 that's the most sustainable 76 00:02:14.920 --> 00:02:17.880 we can do right now for us." 77 00:02:17.880 --> 00:02:19.080 This is Johan Norberg, 78 00:02:19.080 --> 00:02:20.320 a scholar of aviation 79 00:02:20.320 --> 00:02:21.520 and one of the only people 80 00:02:21.520 --> 00:02:24.080 flying e-planes every day. 81 00:02:24.080 --> 00:02:26.480 We're at an aviation school in Sweden, 82 00:02:26.480 --> 00:02:28.280 where future pilots are being trained 83 00:02:28.280 --> 00:02:29.840 in flying electric planes. 84 00:02:31.120 --> 00:02:32.360 "We want to sort of 85 00:02:32.360 --> 00:02:34.400 lead the industry into something new 86 00:02:34.400 --> 00:02:35.720 and show that it's possible 87 00:02:35.720 --> 00:02:37.200 to train new pilots 88 00:02:37.200 --> 00:02:38.720 with high quality 89 00:02:38.720 --> 00:02:40.160 but in a sustainable way." 90 00:02:40.160 --> 00:02:42.040 "I mean, you sound quite confident 91 00:02:42.040 --> 00:02:43.680 that it's going to happen." 92 00:02:43.680 --> 00:02:44.920 "I feel confident in a way 93 00:02:44.920 --> 00:02:46.760 that I'm an electrical engine er as well. 94 00:02:46.760 --> 00:02:47.840 And one major difference 95 00:02:47.840 --> 00:02:49.240 compared to maybe 10 years ago was 96 00:02:49.240 --> 00:02:50.240 that there is proper money 97 00:02:50.240 --> 00:02:52.000 being put into [it]." 98 00:02:52.000 --> 00:02:52.480 That's because 99 00:02:52.480 --> 00:02:53.920 if we get electric engines right, 100 00:02:53.920 --> 00:02:55.800 we'll win the efficiency game. 101 00:02:55.800 --> 00:02:57.480 Electric engines can be three times 102 00:02:57.480 --> 00:02:58.480 more efficient than those 103 00:02:58.480 --> 00:02:59.920 that use fossil fuels, 104 00:02:59.920 --> 00:03:01.160 and of course they don't degrade 105 00:03:01.160 --> 00:03:03.341 the air quality during operation. 106 00:03:05.000 --> 00:03:06.616 The Pipistrel Velis they fly here 107 00:03:06.616 --> 00:03:08.640 doesn't need much electricity. 108 00:03:08.640 --> 00:03:09.280 It takes around 109 00:03:09.280 --> 00:03:10.880 an hour and a half to charge, 110 00:03:10.880 --> 00:03:12.520 on which it can fly 45 minutes 111 00:03:12.520 --> 00:03:14.920 with a reserve of 30% battery. 112 00:03:14.920 --> 00:03:16.480 It's mostly used for pilot training 113 00:03:16.480 --> 00:03:18.040 or privately. 114 00:03:18.040 --> 00:03:19.280 Skellefteä airport has 115 00:03:19.280 --> 00:03:21.200 a 1 megawatt charging station 116 00:03:21.200 --> 00:03:22.120 which enough to charge 117 00:03:22.120 --> 00:03:23.680 a small fleet of electric planes 118 00:03:23.680 --> 00:03:25.000 at the same time. 119 00:03:26.720 --> 00:03:28.760 "It's like a bathtub to get in – 120 00:03:28.760 --> 00:03:30.101 so ass first is easiest." 121 00:03:34.200 --> 00:03:34.880 "I'm ready!" 122 00:03:34.880 --> 00:03:36.400 "All right, let's go!" 123 00:03:46.160 --> 00:03:49.600 "Wahayy! Oh my God!" 124 00:03:49.600 --> 00:03:50.440 "Yeah, it's fast." 125 00:03:50.440 --> 00:03:53.400 "Oh my God, it's really fast!" 126 00:03:54.840 --> 00:03:56.440 This is a super light plane, 127 00:03:56.440 --> 00:03:58.080 but it can only carry two people 128 00:03:58.080 --> 00:03:59.920 with no hand luggage. 129 00:03:59.920 --> 00:04:01.040 To go any bigger, 130 00:04:01.040 --> 00:04:02.160 e-planes are faced 131 00:04:02.160 --> 00:04:04.200 with a big problem: 132 00:04:04.200 --> 00:04:05.880 heavy batteries. 133 00:04:05.880 --> 00:04:06.560 Even though there have been 134 00:04:06.560 --> 00:04:08.280 a lot of advancements in batteries, 135 00:04:08.280 --> 00:04:10.280 we actually haven't come that far. 136 00:04:10.280 --> 00:04:12.080 We've crossed the threshold for cars. 137 00:04:12.198 --> 00:04:14.280 Roughly, for an electric Chevrolet Bolt to drive 138 00:04:14.280 --> 00:04:15.960 the distance a Honda Civic could 139 00:04:15.960 --> 00:04:17.320 on a full tank of fuel 140 00:04:17.320 --> 00:04:18.371 the battery would need to be 141 00:04:18.371 --> 00:04:19.960 17 times heavier. 142 00:04:19.960 --> 00:04:21.080 And cars can just stay on the ground, 143 00:04:21.080 --> 00:04:22.800 so the weight doesn't matter so much. 144 00:04:22.800 --> 00:04:24.840 But for a Boeing 747 to fly 145 00:04:24.840 --> 00:04:26.320 from say London to Istanbul, 146 00:04:26.320 --> 00:04:27.440 batteries would need to be 147 00:04:27.440 --> 00:04:29.080 this much heavier than a full tank. 148 00:04:29.080 --> 00:04:30.240 This just can't work, 149 00:04:30.240 --> 00:04:31.040 since it would be 150 00:04:31.040 --> 00:04:32.000 ten times heavier 151 00:04:32.000 --> 00:04:34.316 than the heaviest payload ever lifted. 152 00:04:35.280 --> 00:04:36.480 "When you are storing energy, 153 00:04:36.480 --> 00:04:38.720 you need a very high level 154 00:04:38.720 --> 00:04:40.040 of energy density." 155 00:04:40.360 --> 00:04:41.280 That's Scott Cary, 156 00:04:41.280 --> 00:04:42.480 head of the airports program 157 00:04:42.480 --> 00:04:44.040 at the US Department of Energy's 158 00:04:44.040 --> 00:04:46.265 National Renewable Energy Lab. 159 00:04:46.960 --> 00:04:50.120 "And petroleum and petroleum-related products 160 00:04:50.120 --> 00:04:51.560 or petroleum-derived products 161 00:04:51.560 --> 00:04:52.920 like biofuels 162 00:04:52.920 --> 00:04:54.840 have a really high energy density." 163 00:04:55.920 --> 00:04:56.520 When compared 164 00:04:56.520 --> 00:04:58.840 to the energy density of traditional fuel, 165 00:04:58.840 --> 00:05:00.360 batteries fair very poorly, 166 00:05:00.360 --> 00:05:02.480 coming in at only 2%. 167 00:05:03.960 --> 00:05:05.280 But conventional aircrafts 168 00:05:05.280 --> 00:05:06.160 we are flying today 169 00:05:06.160 --> 00:05:08.280 are built for jet fuel. 170 00:05:08.280 --> 00:05:09.880 It all started with a "design-off" 171 00:05:09.880 --> 00:05:11.160 in the 1950s, 172 00:05:11.160 --> 00:05:12.280 between propeller planes 173 00:05:12.280 --> 00:05:14.200 that were more popular at the time, 174 00:05:14.200 --> 00:05:16.920 and turbine engines like this. 175 00:05:16.920 --> 00:05:18.440 "The performance characteristics 176 00:05:18.440 --> 00:05:20.640 between those two aircraft, were: 177 00:05:20.640 --> 00:05:22.680 the turbine was slightly faster 178 00:05:22.680 --> 00:05:24.960 but it could not go as far. 179 00:05:24.960 --> 00:05:27.680 And you know, you got marginal gains 180 00:05:27.680 --> 00:05:28.546 by doing that. 181 00:05:28.680 --> 00:05:30.480 And then 5 years later 182 00:05:30.480 --> 00:05:32.000 they figured out for different sizes, 183 00:05:32.000 --> 00:05:33.280 for different configurations, 184 00:05:33.280 --> 00:05:33.840 all of a sudden 185 00:05:33.840 --> 00:05:35.280 it made sense to use these 186 00:05:35.280 --> 00:05:36.640 because of how light 187 00:05:36.640 --> 00:05:37.934 you can make those turbines." 188 00:05:38.920 --> 00:05:40.240 Over time this turbine, 189 00:05:40.240 --> 00:05:41.800 or "tube and wing" design 190 00:05:41.800 --> 00:05:43.160 became vastly more efficient – 191 00:05:43.160 --> 00:05:44.800 a clear winner of the race. 192 00:05:44.800 --> 00:05:46.080 Today's jetliners burn 193 00:05:46.080 --> 00:05:47.760 almost 50% less fuel 194 00:05:47.760 --> 00:05:48.960 per passenger-kilometer 195 00:05:48.960 --> 00:05:50.440 than they did 50 years ago: 196 00:05:50.440 --> 00:05:51.720 with the help of better engines, 197 00:05:51.720 --> 00:05:52.920 improved aerodynamics and 198 00:05:52.920 --> 00:05:55.080 a lot of other often invisible changes. 199 00:05:55.080 --> 00:05:55.760 But the thing is, 200 00:05:55.760 --> 00:05:57.480 this design has peaked in a way. 201 00:05:57.480 --> 00:05:58.680 It's very hard to become 202 00:05:58.680 --> 00:05:59.720 more carbon efficient 203 00:05:59.720 --> 00:06:00.400 unless they squeeze 204 00:06:00.400 --> 00:06:02.280 even more people onto already 205 00:06:02.280 --> 00:06:04.640 very tight planes. 206 00:06:04.640 --> 00:06:06.440 So governments and many in the industry 207 00:06:06.440 --> 00:06:07.800 are going back to the drawing board 208 00:06:07.800 --> 00:06:09.000 to re-design. 209 00:06:09.000 --> 00:06:11.840 In another 1950s-style design-off. 210 00:06:11.840 --> 00:06:13.760 "It's a really, really interesting time 211 00:06:13.760 --> 00:06:15.520 in that sense 212 00:06:15.520 --> 00:06:18.920 because things are up for grabs again." 213 00:06:19.720 --> 00:06:20.680 This is Tom Budd 214 00:06:20.680 --> 00:06:22.120 an aviation expert who looks at 215 00:06:22.120 --> 00:06:23.200 on-the-ground infrastructure 216 00:06:23.200 --> 00:06:24.600 to support the transition 217 00:06:24.600 --> 00:06:26.760 by working together with Heathrow airport. 218 00:06:26.760 --> 00:06:31.400 "We looked at two main modes of operation 219 00:06:31.400 --> 00:06:32.800 for doing that. 220 00:06:32.800 --> 00:06:35.520 One which was a battery charging system. 221 00:06:35.520 --> 00:06:36.720 So, where the battery would 222 00:06:36.720 --> 00:06:38.400 remain fixed within the aircraft. 223 00:06:38.400 --> 00:06:39.200 You would plug it in 224 00:06:39.200 --> 00:06:40.880 as if you would like a normal device, 225 00:06:40.880 --> 00:06:42.320 you would just charge it." 226 00:06:43.172 --> 00:06:44.480 This would be the simplest way, 227 00:06:44.480 --> 00:06:45.920 operationally-speaking. 228 00:06:45.920 --> 00:06:47.240 But they also found that charging 229 00:06:47.240 --> 00:06:48.840 would waste precious time, 230 00:06:48.840 --> 00:06:50.400 when current air traffic relies 231 00:06:50.400 --> 00:06:52.040 on a quick turnaround. 232 00:06:52.040 --> 00:06:53.760 Planes would occupy limited space 233 00:06:53.760 --> 00:06:54.880 in the airport. 234 00:06:54.880 --> 00:06:55.360 And of course, 235 00:06:55.360 --> 00:06:56.640 the amount of power needed 236 00:06:56.640 --> 00:06:58.160 would take away significantly 237 00:06:58.160 --> 00:06:59.520 from the city’s grid. 238 00:07:00.160 --> 00:07:01.800 "The second, sort of, 239 00:07:01.800 --> 00:07:03.200 mode of operation that we looked at 240 00:07:03.200 --> 00:07:06.200 was a battery swapping system. 241 00:07:06.200 --> 00:07:07.320 And that would be where you 242 00:07:07.320 --> 00:07:09.800 would have pre charged batteries 243 00:07:09.800 --> 00:07:11.160 and then when an aircraft came in, 244 00:07:11.160 --> 00:07:12.840 you would remove the battery 245 00:07:12.840 --> 00:07:13.960 from the airframe 246 00:07:13.960 --> 00:07:15.040 and then swap it with one 247 00:07:15.040 --> 00:07:17.040 that had already been pre-charged." 248 00:07:17.040 --> 00:07:18.920 This would save space and time 249 00:07:18.920 --> 00:07:20.800 but would require a lot of specialization, 250 00:07:20.800 --> 00:07:22.760 which we currently don't have anywhere. 251 00:07:22.760 --> 00:07:24.120 And it would be a big risk – 252 00:07:24.120 --> 00:07:25.120 meddling with an airframe 253 00:07:25.120 --> 00:07:26.240 is always dangerous 254 00:07:26.240 --> 00:07:26.720 and there's also 255 00:07:26.720 --> 00:07:27.800 the major risk of fires 256 00:07:27.800 --> 00:07:29.200 from holding so many batteries 257 00:07:29.200 --> 00:07:31.640 in one place. 258 00:07:31.640 --> 00:07:34.080 "So of the two systems 259 00:07:34.080 --> 00:07:35.000 we favored 260 00:07:35.000 --> 00:07:36.920 the battery charging system, 261 00:07:36.920 --> 00:07:37.880 but we were very aware 262 00:07:37.880 --> 00:07:39.280 of the potential limitations 263 00:07:39.280 --> 00:07:40.560 that that could pose." 264 00:07:40.560 --> 00:07:42.546 So, not easy. 265 00:07:44.429 --> 00:07:44.929 "Oh my God!" 266 00:07:46.680 --> 00:07:47.990 "Yeah, I mean you can fly if you want." 267 00:07:48.480 --> 00:07:49.360 "No! 268 00:07:49.360 --> 00:07:50.238 What do I do?" 269 00:07:52.000 --> 00:07:52.508 "No hands!" 270 00:07:53.629 --> 00:07:54.800 "If you want, the nose can also go down..." 271 00:07:54.800 --> 00:07:55.310 "I don't!" 272 00:07:55.310 --> 00:07:57.880 "You push the stick forward – if you want to..." 273 00:07:57.880 --> 00:07:59.240 "No please take it back! 274 00:07:59.240 --> 00:08:00.160 That was too much power, 275 00:08:00.160 --> 00:08:02.593 I can’t handle that." 276 00:08:03.400 --> 00:08:04.920 Pipistrels were the first planes 277 00:08:04.920 --> 00:08:06.120 to be certified. 278 00:08:06.120 --> 00:08:07.720 But this is another huge challenge 279 00:08:07.720 --> 00:08:09.800 that aviation has compared to cars – 280 00:08:09.800 --> 00:08:11.760 being certified for safety. 281 00:08:11.760 --> 00:08:13.760 So everything takes time: for R&D, 282 00:08:13.760 --> 00:08:15.480 testing including for battery safety, 283 00:08:15.480 --> 00:08:18.040 and the years-long certification processes. 284 00:08:18.040 --> 00:08:19.720 But this January, the European Parliament 285 00:08:19.720 --> 00:08:20.560 pushed for the idea 286 00:08:20.560 --> 00:08:21.720 of more e-planes 287 00:08:21.720 --> 00:08:23.200 for short and mid-range flights. 288 00:08:23.200 --> 00:08:24.440 This is part of a wider goal 289 00:08:24.440 --> 00:08:26.040 to cut 90% of emissions 290 00:08:26.040 --> 00:08:28.240 from transport by 2050. 291 00:08:28.240 --> 00:08:29.120 "All right!" 292 00:08:29.120 --> 00:08:31.094 "Thank you, that was great." 293 00:08:33.440 --> 00:08:34.720 The company that made the Pipistrel 294 00:08:34.720 --> 00:08:36.680 is now working on a 4-seater plane. 295 00:08:36.680 --> 00:08:38.240 And there already bigger ones: 296 00:08:38.240 --> 00:08:39.400 A plane called Alice – 297 00:08:39.400 --> 00:08:40.640 that could carry nine passengers 298 00:08:40.640 --> 00:08:41.560 and two crew members, 299 00:08:41.560 --> 00:08:43.360 seems to be close to commercialization, 300 00:08:43.360 --> 00:08:46.480 promising to fly around 400 km. 301 00:08:46.480 --> 00:08:47.840 "Heart Aerospace" in Sweden 302 00:08:47.840 --> 00:08:49.600 has a proof-of-concept aircraft 303 00:08:49.600 --> 00:08:54.720 that could fly 25 passengers up to 800km by 2026. 304 00:08:54.720 --> 00:08:56.720 "When you look at, if you think about... 305 00:08:56.720 --> 00:08:58.240 there are existing cargo routes 306 00:08:58.240 --> 00:08:59.480 that use small aircraft. 307 00:08:59.480 --> 00:09:00.840 There are existing communities 308 00:09:00.840 --> 00:09:02.240 that their only connection 309 00:09:02.240 --> 00:09:05.240 is a nine-seat aircraft. 310 00:09:05.960 --> 00:09:07.040 Unless they take a ferry 311 00:09:07.040 --> 00:09:08.960 for four or six hours 312 00:09:08.960 --> 00:09:11.440 type of a situation. 313 00:09:11.440 --> 00:09:12.800 Those are real existing routes 314 00:09:12.800 --> 00:09:14.360 that have to be either subsidised 315 00:09:14.360 --> 00:09:17.731 or paid for by communities." 316 00:09:18.448 --> 00:09:20.120 This is the main application so far 317 00:09:20.120 --> 00:09:21.400 and it is significant. 318 00:09:21.400 --> 00:09:24.920 In 2020 the US spent $326 million 319 00:09:24.920 --> 00:09:26.680 to subsidize the costs of aircraft 320 00:09:26.680 --> 00:09:27.600 to smaller airports 321 00:09:27.600 --> 00:09:29.120 that don't see a profit. 322 00:09:29.120 --> 00:09:30.880 Air ambulances, air taxis 323 00:09:30.880 --> 00:09:32.160 and small cargo planes 324 00:09:32.160 --> 00:09:34.000 also only need smaller aircraft. 325 00:09:34.000 --> 00:09:35.720 DHL has ordered twelve planes 326 00:09:35.720 --> 00:09:37.800 for low-emissions postal deliveries 327 00:09:37.800 --> 00:09:39.000 which can help local noise 328 00:09:39.000 --> 00:09:40.800 and air quality too. 329 00:09:40.800 --> 00:09:43.320 But let's put this all in perspective. 330 00:09:43.320 --> 00:09:43.920 With everything 331 00:09:43.920 --> 00:09:45.760 that electrification can do now – 332 00:09:45.760 --> 00:09:47.080 based on current battery tech 333 00:09:47.080 --> 00:09:49.240 and operational challenges – a study by 334 00:09:49.240 --> 00:09:51.400 the International Center on Clean Aviation 335 00:09:51.400 --> 00:09:53.440 estimates that electric aircraft 336 00:09:53.440 --> 00:09:56.320 could cover 9% of the commuter market. 337 00:09:56.320 --> 00:09:57.360 That's flights with more 338 00:09:57.360 --> 00:09:58.800 than 19 passengers 339 00:09:58.800 --> 00:10:01.680 and distances shorter than 500 km. 340 00:10:01.680 --> 00:10:02.920 But this only accounts for 341 00:10:02.920 --> 00:10:06.203 0.002% of global aviation. 342 00:10:07.480 --> 00:10:09.160 By 2050, they estimate 343 00:10:09.160 --> 00:10:12.000 it could be up to 0.2%, 344 00:10:12.000 --> 00:10:13.360 which is still small 345 00:10:13.360 --> 00:10:14.280 when we're talking about 346 00:10:14.280 --> 00:10:15.964 carbon emissions. 347 00:10:17.600 --> 00:10:20.200 But this is purely electric 348 00:10:20.200 --> 00:10:22.440 we are talking about. 349 00:10:22.440 --> 00:10:24.720 "You could also have versions of hybrid. 350 00:10:24.720 --> 00:10:28.120 So you could have a serious hybrid, 351 00:10:28.120 --> 00:10:29.720 which is where essentially 352 00:10:29.720 --> 00:10:33.560 fuel is used to power an electric motor, 353 00:10:33.560 --> 00:10:36.440 which then powers the aircraft. 354 00:10:36.440 --> 00:10:37.360 So you're using fuel 355 00:10:37.360 --> 00:10:39.640 to charge a battery essentially. 356 00:10:39.640 --> 00:10:40.360 And then you also have 357 00:10:40.360 --> 00:10:42.200 what are called parallel hybrids, 358 00:10:42.200 --> 00:10:43.760 which is where you have 359 00:10:43.760 --> 00:10:45.280 the electric motor 360 00:10:45.280 --> 00:10:46.800 and the fuel source 361 00:10:46.800 --> 00:10:49.600 so kerosene or hydrogen 362 00:10:50.200 --> 00:10:52.600 both being used for propulsion." 363 00:10:52.600 --> 00:10:54.040 I can't imagine this tiny plane 364 00:10:54.040 --> 00:10:54.680 getting much bigger 365 00:10:54.680 --> 00:10:55.520 in the next few years, 366 00:10:55.520 --> 00:10:56.680 but the hybrid argument 367 00:10:56.680 --> 00:10:57.880 really makes sense. 368 00:10:57.880 --> 00:10:59.720 The IATA estimates that hybrids 369 00:10:59.720 --> 00:11:00.720 will be the next leap 370 00:11:00.720 --> 00:11:02.440 in aviation in the 2030s – 371 00:11:02.440 --> 00:11:03.240 with new designs 372 00:11:03.240 --> 00:11:04.640 replacing the "tube and wing" – 373 00:11:04.640 --> 00:11:05.520 and this will contribute 374 00:11:05.520 --> 00:11:09.080 to a 40% reduction in emissions by 2050. 375 00:11:09.080 --> 00:11:11.240 Longer flights will most likely use biofuels, 376 00:11:11.240 --> 00:11:13.160 with some parts of the plane electrified 377 00:11:13.160 --> 00:11:15.000 and some use of hydrogen. 378 00:11:15.000 --> 00:11:16.640 The Pipistrel is a small step 379 00:11:16.640 --> 00:11:18.200 but gives hope for the potential 380 00:11:18.200 --> 00:11:20.000 of the diversity technologies 381 00:11:20.000 --> 00:11:21.200 that we are going to need. 382 00:11:21.200 --> 00:11:23.120 "So what do you think of this cute little plane, 383 00:11:23.120 --> 00:11:24.880 and the future of planes like this? 384 00:11:24.880 --> 00:11:26.560 Let us know in the comments section below 385 00:11:26.560 --> 00:11:28.870 and come back every Friday for more videos."