薄熙来案:十月三中全会前尘埃落定? | 德国之声 来自德国 介绍德国 | DW | 11.07.2013
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时政风云

薄熙来案:十月三中全会前尘埃落定?

法广报道称薄熙来案将很快在山东济南中级法院开庭,对薄熙来主要起诉受贿罪。北京高校教师王铮向德国之声表示“没有此事” ;中国学者姚监复则表示,当局应该会在10月的三中全会前了结此案。

--FILE--Bo Xilai, then Governor of Liaoning province and son of former Chinese Vice Premier Bo Yibo, attends the China Entrepreneur Summit 2003 in Beijing, China, 6 December 2003. Chinas Communist Party has suspended former high-flying politician Bo Xilai from its top ranks and named his wife a suspect in the murder of a British businessman, a dramatic turn in a scandal shaking leadership succession plans. The decision to banish Bo from the Central Committee and its Politburo effectively ends the career of Chinas brashest and most controversial politician, widely seen as pressing for a top post in Chinas next leadership to be settled later this year. The official Xinhua news agency confirmed on Tuesday (10 April 2012) that Bo had been suspended from his party posts, and separately reported that his wife, Gu Kailai, was suspected in the murder of Briton Neil Heywood.

ARCHIV Politiker Bo Xilai

(德国之声中文网)距薄熙来去年4月落马已有一年多的时间,期间传闻不断,当局迟迟未予开审。7月10日法广援引知情人士消息报道,薄熙来案将很快(七八月份)在山东济南中级法院开庭审理,该院正在对这个高度敏感的案件进行模拟彩排。

该报道援引熟悉案情者称,对薄起诉的主要涉罪之一即为"受贿罪",即大连富商徐明为薄熙来之子薄瓜瓜赴海外留学提供各种费用约六、七百万元。微妙之处在于,如果薄熙来能配合当局认罪,久未露面目前在美国加州的薄瓜瓜不必面临司法追诉,薄瓜瓜成为薄熙来最终接受命运的筹码。去年9月28日,中国官媒新华社通报薄案案情,所列罪状包括"在担任大连市、辽宁省、商务部领导职务和中央政治局委员兼重庆市委书记期间,严重违反党的纪律;在王立军事件和薄谷开来故意杀人案件中滥用职权,犯有严重错误、负有重大责任;薄熙来还利用职权为他人谋利,直接和通过家人收受他人巨额贿赂,另外薄熙来与多名女性发生或保持不正当性关系。"

德国之声与济南中院取得联系,工作人员先是表示不知情,该院新闻办公室又表示再请示后回复,截至目前德国之声未收到法院证实或证伪的答复。一直为薄熙来奔走呼吁的北京经济管理干部学院教师王铮接受德国之声采访时表示: "在济南开庭这个消息肯定是假的,我今天早上核实了,我也和济南中院联系过,目前薄熙来家人也见不到他,只是律师能见,但非常有限,只见过一面,外界想知道何时开审,还是得通过官方的渠道";德国之声与薄熙来的代理律师李贵方、王兆峰联系未果。

China's former Chongqing Municipality Communist Party Secretary Bo Xilai (R) and his son Bo Guagua stand in front of a picture of his father Bo Yibo, former vice-chairman of the Central Advisory Commission of the Communist Party of China, at a mourning hall in Beijing in this January 18, 2007 file photo. Bo Guagua, a 24-year-old descendant of Chinese Communist royalty, seemed destined to one day become a rich and powerful businessman in an economy that in his lifetime would become the world's largest. His pedigree, elite schooling, easy confidence and connections left those who knew him in no doubt he would pursue a business career and amass a fortune. That was until a British expatriate, Neil Heywood, died in November 2011 in a hotel in a huge city in western China, a world away from the clipped lawns and hushed libraries of Harvard University where Bo was studying. The story now looks certain to ruin his family and upend his ambitions. REUTERS/Stringer (CHINA - Tags: POLITICS CRIME LAW TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY) CHINA OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN CHINA

薄瓜瓜成薄熙来认罪重要筹码?

1月9日,中纪委发言人崔少鹏发布通告表示"重庆市委书记薄熙来等要案已经进入司法处理过程";其后薄熙来家人为其聘请资深律师、北京德恒律师事务所合伙人李贵方和王兆峰作为辩护律师;1月26日,香港媒体《大公报》称薄案将于1月28日开审;2月份,香港《苹果日报》再称薄案将在两会前审结,但此案仍处无限期搁置状态。

2012年2月6日,重庆市前副市长、公安局长王立军出走美国驻成都领馆引爆中共高层丑闻"薄王事件"; 4月,中共宣布解除薄熙来的中央政治局委员、中央委员职务,中央纪检委员会启动对其严重违纪问题的立案调查。2012年9月28日,中国官媒新华通报薄熙来被双开、对其涉嫌犯罪部分移送司法机关。

"薄熙来一定会保住命的"

中国学者、国务院农村发展中心前研究员姚监复向德国之声表示,此信息有可能不是空穴来风,因为在今年10月1号前后,会召开中共十八大三中全会,从时间上看,在此之前如果能将薄案了结,其结果在三中全会上再次追认,此事即告尘埃落定。

姚监复也表示,从目前媒体透出的信息来看,对薄熙来主要追诉"受贿罪",涉王立军案和谷开来案的"徇私枉法"、"严重渎职"或"包庇罪"等有可能淡化,以刘志军案做参照,薄熙来有可能获轻判:"根据目前的罪行和罪证来看,不能判重刑,除非还挖出更厉害的罪证。象刘志军贪污几千万都是死缓,薄不会比这个更重,一定会保命的。在薄熙来之前处理刘志军的案例,就预示薄熙来不会比他判得更重。"

China's newly elected President and chairman of the Central Military Commission Xi Jinping (L) talks with China's Vice Premier Li Keqiang during the fourth plenary meeting of the first session of the 12th National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing, March 14, 2013. REUTERS/China Daily (CHINA - Tags: POLITICS) CHINA OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN CHINA

"本是同根生",习近平会放薄一马?

"为了政权稳定,对薄会轻判"

姚监复也分析,从薄熙来倒台至今,中共当局对该"政治案"做法律化转换并久拖未决的过程中,也表明在权力内部依然有角力。随着新一代领导人权力的稳定,及可能的薄熙来感到大势已去后的认罪,都使该案到了了结的时机。

姚监复认为如果该案不久后审结,加之对薄不会处以极刑,对薄的拥趸者及权力之争力量的双方,都算是一个多方可接受的结果:"作为太子党之间,也不能搞得太狠了,本是同根生。另外把拥护薄的人搞得太急、扯的面太广的话,就等于在制造对立面,所以我估计为了政权稳定,少树敌,所以有可能轻判。但薄熙来的政治生命彻底结束了。"

作者:吴雨

责编:叶宣

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